On May 15, 2014, Dr. Hugh Ross posted the Today’s New Reason
to Believe (TNRTB)
Sixteen steps punctuate the history of life on Earth. Each
of these steps is critical for making
possible the entry of advanced life. The likelihood of all these steps occurring from a naturalistic perspective is essentially zero. This zero probability does not take into account either life’s origin or the origin of the mind and the human spirit.
Why does the history of life appear the way it does?
Naturalists, materialists, deists, and most theistic evolutionists would answer
that the chemicals on early Earth spontaneously self-assembled into a simple
cell that was able to reproduce. From there, the cell's daughters evolved to
produce all the life-forms that have ever existed throughout the past 3.8
billion years. Such a history requires that life make at least 16 transitional
steps in order to generate advanced life-forms.
1. Cells containing only a few hundred gene products must transition to cells containing several thousand gene products.
2. Respiration systems must transition from anaerobic to aerobic.
3. Cells must develop nuclei.
4. Cells must develop mitochondria.
5. Cells must transition from free-floating to colony life.
6. Single-celled organisms must transition into multicellular organisms.
7. Asexual organisms must transition into sexual organisms.
8. Organisms must develop eyes or eye precursors.
9. Organisms must evolve differentiated organs and appendages.
10. Organisms with ectoskeletons must evolve into organisms with endoskeletons.
11. Very-small-bodied organisms must become large-bodied organisms
12. Non-animal life must transition into animal life
13. Non-vascular plants must transition into vascular plants
14. Non-chordate animals must evolve into chordate animals
15. Animals must develop a mind, free will, and emotions.
16. Advanced animals must develop a spirit, symbolic cognition, and symbolic relational capability - in other words, they must become human.
1. Cells containing only a few hundred gene products must transition to cells containing several thousand gene products.
2. Respiration systems must transition from anaerobic to aerobic.
3. Cells must develop nuclei.
4. Cells must develop mitochondria.
5. Cells must transition from free-floating to colony life.
6. Single-celled organisms must transition into multicellular organisms.
7. Asexual organisms must transition into sexual organisms.
8. Organisms must develop eyes or eye precursors.
9. Organisms must evolve differentiated organs and appendages.
10. Organisms with ectoskeletons must evolve into organisms with endoskeletons.
11. Very-small-bodied organisms must become large-bodied organisms
12. Non-animal life must transition into animal life
13. Non-vascular plants must transition into vascular plants
14. Non-chordate animals must evolve into chordate animals
15. Animals must develop a mind, free will, and emotions.
16. Advanced animals must develop a spirit, symbolic cognition, and symbolic relational capability - in other words, they must become human.
That's quite a list for undirected natural processes to
complete. Evolutionary biologist Francisco Ayala notes that, from a Darwinian
perspective, each step is highly improbable. Taking into account just a few of
these steps, Ayala determined that the probability of intelligent life arising
from bacteria to be less than one chance in 10 1,000,000. (1)
Physicists John Barrow, Brandon Carter, and Frank Tipler
calculated the probability of all 16 steps occurring to be less than one chance
in 10 24,000,000. (2) To get a feel for how miniscule this probability is, it
is roughly equivalent to someone winning the California lottery 3,000,000
consecutive times where that individual purchases just one lottery ticket each
time. Realistically, this probability is indistinguishable from someone winning
the California lottery 3,000,000 consecutive times where the individual
purchases no tickets at all.
The probability determination of one chance in 10 24,000,000 presumes
that each of the 16 steps is at least naturalistically possible, even if
it is extremely improbable. But the last two steps present a problem for a
naturalistic model. Consciousness, the mind, and the spirit are not reducible
to physics and chemistry. In other words, the mindless, the spiritless, and
that which lacks consciousness (undirected evolutionary processes) cannot
create that which is mindful, spiritual, and conscious. Barrow, Carter, and
Tipler merely considered the origin of the genes that govern some of the mind's
and spirit's operations.
Their probability determination also fails to consider that
no naturalistic explanation for the origin of physical life exists;
naturalistic explanations aren't even possible. All naturalistic models for
life's origin require a supply of building block molecules and time for those
building block molecules to self-assemble. Yet overwhelming evidence now
demonstrates that neither the time nor the building blocks were present for the
origin of life on Earth. (3)
Moreover, the 16 steps imply that no category of life has
permanently disappeared in spite of the fact that mass extinctions have
occurred throughout life's history. The steps are additions to life, not
replacements. If life appeared on Earth without a plan, purpose, or goal, then
why have all categories remained?
It makes better sense that the Creator would act to ensure
that no category of life permanently disappears. A Creator could intend that
all life fulfill a role in equipping humanity to carry out our purpose and
destiny. Psalm 104:24 provides an apt two-sentence summary of the origin of
life and the 16 steps: "How many are your works, O LORD! In wisdom you
made them all; the earth is full of your creatures."
References:
(1) Francisco Ayala quoted by Frank J. Tipler in "Intelligent Life in Cosmology," International
Journal of Astrobiology 2 (April 2003): 142.
(2) Brandon Carter and W. H. McCrea, "The Anthropic Principle and Its Implications for Biological
Evolution [and Discussion]," Philosophical Transactions of the
Royal Society A 310 (December 20, 1983): 347–63; John D. Barrow and Frank
J. Tipler, The Anthropic Cosmological Principle(New York: Oxford
University Press, 1986): 510–73.
(3) Fazale Rana and Hugh Ross, Origins of Life (Colorado Springs: NavPress, 2004):
63–133.
Reasons to Believe emerged from Dr. Ross’ passion to research, develop, and proclaim the most powerful new reasons to believe in Christ as Creator, Lord, and Savior and to use those new reasons to reach people for Christ. To learn more about Dr. Ross and Reasons to Believe, go here.
That you may know, Roger
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